Morningstar recently identified the BlackRock LifePath Index funds as The Best Target-Date Funds for 2021 and Beyond. At a quick glance, these funds faired ok during the 2020 meltdown compared to the S&P 500. However, there are 5 Reasons Target-Date Funds Are Not Equipped For Retirement Assets Your target-date fund could very well be under-allocated … Continue reading 5 Reasons Target-Date Funds Are Not Equipped For Retirement Assets
NY Fed Nowcast: 4.25%
Nowcasting Report - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK (newyorkfed.org)
Buffet’s favorite metric
By examining a company's sales, earnings, and cash flow, valuation measures provide investors with an easy way to determine its worth. To decide if an investment is appealing, these measurements compare the firm's value to the market's evaluation of the company. Let's look at the most popular valuation methods and see why we think free … Continue reading Buffet’s favorite metric
Utilizing CAPE for a safe retirement withdrawal rate
Target-date funds have risen significantly, thanks in part to the Pension Protection Act of 2006, which enabled automatic enrollment. Target-date funds, for the most part, follow the old investment advisor adage that a person's stock weight should be around 110 minus his or her age. While this fits the common-sense notion that, all things being … Continue reading Utilizing CAPE for a safe retirement withdrawal rate
ESG Issues and Performance
This research is courtesy of Wesley R. Gray, PhD, https://alphaarchitect.com/ ___________________________________ In "ESG Performance Breakdown by E, S, and G," Tommi Johnsen, PhD, looks at: Individual E, S, and G pillar scores' risk/return ratios The main issues If you want to learn more about the article, the writers have created a video and a blog … Continue reading ESG Issues and Performance
Bubbles do not deflate, they pop
In his paper, "The 13th Labour of Hercules: Capital Preservation in the Age of Financial Repression," author James Montier makes the reference: The investor has no sound basis for expecting more than an average overall return…[from] commonstocks [JM: Indeed, on our measures global equities look priced to deliver around 3% real p.a. inour current forecast]…But … Continue reading Bubbles do not deflate, they pop
And about inflation, the Fed is absolutely right
We had three consecutive months of negative CPI readings at this time last year. Producer prices had fallen for three months in a row. Commodity prices were falling by more than 20% across the board. Fast forward to now, and we have a situation where, thanks to the reopening of the market, vaccines, and all … Continue reading And about inflation, the Fed is absolutely right
Does the CAPE Ratio Work Globally?
In his book, Global Value, Meb Faber, sets out to explore the above question. With data from Global Financial Data and Morningstar, he looked at 44 countries. Over the period 1980-2012 he charted the average CAPE Ratio. He found, not surprisingly, countries with the highest valuations yielded the lowest subsequent 10 year returns He subsequently … Continue reading Does the CAPE Ratio Work Globally?
A Growth-Value Approach
Before Richard Bernstein headed up his own money management firm he was head of quantitative research for Merrill Lynch and wrote a great book on style investing: Style Investing: Unique Insight Into Equity Management. Richard basically took the opportunity to illustrate when the best times were to invest in growth and value styles by detailing … Continue reading A Growth-Value Approach
“Smart Money” in Bearish Mood
As indicated by the NAAIM index, the "smart money" sentiment among professional investment managers has dropped to the second lowest level in almost two years. Source: The National Association of Active Investment Managers - NAAIM
